As discussed in class, to assure
political survival a leader must please his/her selectorate and more
specifically his/her winning coalition. The Bulgarian political system is a
parliamentary representative democratic republic which means there is a larger
winning coalition and that to stay in power, Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski,
should be doing what the people ask of him, or at very least he should be
attempting to quell the uproar and to come to some mutual agreement on the
matter. Instead however, Oresharski and the rest of the Bulgarian government are
acting very uncharacteristic as leaders of a democratic republic who want to
stay in power. They are simply attempting to ignore the protesters and carry on
business as usual. Their attention is primarily being focused on the county’s
powerful actors which are mainly comprised of wealthy bankers and construction
companies. The government is acting as if their winning coalition is very small
and made up similar to an oligarchy rather than a democratic republic. This is
an interesting tactic because, when not meeting the needs of the people,
leaders will be removed from office; however, if the government is putting its
focus on the wealthy players rather than its voters than these signs point
toward a corrupted government. This is such because, if it remains true that
leaders want to stay in power, than all of their focus should go towards who is
keeping them in their seats. If the government is taking care of the wealthy
and powerful players while they ignore the citizen majority than clearly there
is an incentive given to the government in order to do this; or is it possible
that the government and Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski are not corrupt but
rather have simply come to the realization that their political careers are
over no matter what they tell the public, incentivizing them to gain powerful
friends while they still can, in preparation for what comes after their
political lives?
**Short article and video explaining the entire situation from citizen standpoints**
**Short article and video explaining the entire situation from citizen standpoints**
My aunt is from Bulgaria & she said although she didn't have a strong opinion on the matter, she believes things are getting a little better. Her parents are still in Bulgaria & I wonder what they think...I'll have to ask & maybe we can talk about it in class?
ReplyDeleteVery interesting story. I like how you connected the decisions made by the Bulgarian government to the selectorate/coalitions theory. It's quite apparent that the people of Bulgaria have lost faith in their government due to conspirator ties, but does that mean that they must move towards a coup? Or should they simply vote new members into power. It may be helpful to look into Ted Gurr's theory on revolution and relative deprivation. But you must think of relative deprivation in the light of not received the political transparency and fairness the Bulgarian citizens believe they should have.
ReplyDeleteI also agree with tontonster that a coup would be extreme for the selectorate and that electing a new leader into power would be more beneficial in the long run. They could also maintain their current winning coalition and that a coup could jeopardize their current position.
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