Thursday, September 26, 2013

Brazil, the NSA, and the U.S. Cooperation Problem

Relations between the United States and Brazil have become strained in the last month following leaked reports from NSA contractor Edward Snowden. It was revealed that the NSA has been monitoring the phone calls and emails of Brazil’s president Dilma Rouseff, as well as collecting information coming from Brazil’s oil company Petrobras. The scandal has resulted in the cancelation of a visit to Washington by Rouseff in October and has sparked public debate within Brazil about the security of information within the country (The Economist). Brazil has announced that it will lay down a fiber-optic line that will allow the country’s electronic information to bypass the United States. They also plan to set up secure email systems that don’t rely on U.S. companies such as Gmail and Yahoo. This is significant because tensions between the two countries could have potentially far- reaching consequences for two of the biggest trading partners in the Americas.

One of the biggest issues from this conflict involves cooperation in the international system. On the world stage, cooperation is difficult since the international system is in anarchy, meaning there is no overarching force holding states accountable to their actions. Power and capabilities become essential for states to attain security from the uncertainty of actions of other states. Through this lens, realists would argue that the United States was simply using its superior capabilities to secure itself by accessing the maximum amount of information about other countries actions and interests (including Brazil). However these actions lead to a type of prisoner’s dilemma. In this situation, the United States wants to get information from Brazil to confirm that the country will continue to act in a way that is favorable to the U.S., which includes trade and security policies. Brazil, however wants to have sovereignty from outside influence. This means that the best situation for the US would be to have access to information on Brazilian actions unbeknownst to the country, while the best situation for Brazil would be to act freely without being spied on. Overall cooperation would be the best compromise for both countries. To attain it the U.S. would have to be ensured that activity hurtful to the country was not occurring within Brazilian borders, and as a result the United States would have to respect the privacy of Brazil’s secure information. In reality, such conflicts result in the worst situation for both nations where Brazil pursues protectionist policies that limit trade/cooperation with the US (such as investing in a bypassing fiber-optic cable), and the U.S. feels vulnerable to threats from geographically close countries.

At the moment, the U.S. appears to be at an advantage in the situation because their superior online technological infrastructure makes it likely that they can continue to collect information in the region regardless of the measures that Brazil takes. Experts have warned that a rerouted fiber-optic cable would only have a limited effect on securing data because information will still likely go through U.S. systems. They point out that even with tighter cyber security agreements, the U.S. can still do what it wants in the international system because “there is no oversight, there's no comeback if they do not live up to them” (BBC). Furthermore, trading relations are likely to be unaffected for the most part in the future between the countries because the two economies are so interdependent. This also makes more escalated forms of conflict such as war unlikely. So how or will the situation be resolved? Could future interactions be a way to encourage cooperation in the future with Internet surveillance? Only time will tell.

Sources:
The Economist: http://www.economist.com/blogs/americasview/2013/09/brazil-and-united-states
BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-24145662
Foreign Policy: http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2013/09/17/brazilian_president_snubs_white_house

7 comments:

  1. I think this is very interesting, however I do agree that war or immediate action is unlikely. Of course, the United States in meddling in everyone else's business once again, but what's new? While I agree that the best possible result in this situation would be for the U.S. to back off, and for Brazil to confirm that it is not going to do anything to harm the security of the U.S, I think that the United States is notorious for not backing off, especially if we think the consequences are minimal. Overall, the fact that we can use the internet to spy on whomever we want is a little bit daunting. If we have eyes in Brazil, where else are we? While many people may think it's good for the U.S to be able to survey other countries, I'm not sure that I agree. In this case, I think I'll take Brazil's side and kindly ask the U.S to mind their own business.

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  2. Due to the “shadow of the future” principal, war or even armed conflict is nearly impossible for both the US and Brazil to engage in with each other. Brazil is one of the largest producers of sugar cane in the entire world, and one of the thriving BRIC nations; while the US is arguably the most powerful economies in the world. They act together and need what the other has, now and in the future, making any sort of conflict over this illogical and a bad move for both parties. Also, as we learned in class, it is very difficult for larger and more successful countries to go to war. Due to these factors, I agree that, war should be the last thing on our minds when thinking about the tension with Brazil. Political actions need to be taken in order to get back into good graces with one another; however, I do not see it as a decision that needs to be made hastily, all options should be weighed and a mutual agreement should be easy to come by with these two countries.

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  3. My question would be to Brazil, and it would be do they really think that the US is the only country keeping tabs on the way that they conduct themselves. Also, because information gathering is part of security within the international system, what would Brazil do if it they got caught doing the same thing to another nation? The spying on other countries is just a necessity within IR, it happens between nations with close ties, and those who have no ties. Unfortunately, it is an inevitable occurence.

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  4. This should not be new news to anyone. The fact that Brazil found out, sure it kind blew up, but the fact remains, this is necessary in order to help make sure that conflict or any other type of event doesn't erupt. Tactics such as this go on every day, it just is able to stay out of the limelight, unfortunately for Brazil, they were the guinea pig and it was leaked du to another scandal that was occurring here in the state. Had our own scandal not occurred, who is to say that this would have even bee revealed to begin with.

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  5. This should not be new news to anyone. The fact that Brazil found out, sure it kind blew up, but the fact remains, this is necessary in order to help make sure that conflict or any other type of event doesn't erupt. Tactics such as this go on every day, it just is able to stay out of the limelight, unfortunately for Brazil, they were the guinea pig and it was leaked du to another scandal that was occurring here in the state. Had our own scandal not occurred, who is to say that this would have even bee revealed to begin with.

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  6. This was a very interesting blog post! Thank you for posting about this topic!
    It is not surprising that Brazil is upset that the US has been spying on them...but to be honest, would it be outrageous to assume that they (Brazil) may be conducting similar operations but have not been caught? I am not knowledgeable about the topic, so if someone knows the answer, please share! Also, since the US has been caught red handed spying on Brazil, I wonder if other nations will suspect that they are also targets of NSA monitoring.

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  7. The revelation of US international spying seems to be an opportune time for states such as Brazil to utilize the UN to regain privacy rights. Although it seems highly unrealistic, due to many member states being complicit in the spy network, I would like to see international law created protecting human privacy. It would be a tremendous victory for the UN if they could have such a measure protected by law. Even if it weren't enforceable, it would do well to remind the US that so many are against the NSA's methods of intelligence gathering.

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